Hello, fellow Ohioans. To the extent that this sub seems fairly politicized, this post is written with the assumption that most of the audience here leans left.

I was watching a YouTube video by an election analyst (he seems legit--has publications, been doing this a long time), and while he echoes a lot of the pundits' talking points about this seeming to be a good year for Democrats nationwide, it seems that there is a worrying exception: Ohio, and the single biggest warning sign he observes is early voting data in Cuyahoga County.

You can view his model here: https://votingtrend.com/?eevt_state=OH&eevt_election_id=22

It seems like a somewhat sophisticated model and you have to play around on the site for a minute to figure things out, but the long and short of things is that Cuyahoga County--unlike many other countries in Ohio and across the country--is falling significantly behind the benchmarks one would expect were they on track to win the state.

Obviously, there are a lot of variables here: when I drive through Lake and Geauga counties, I do see way more Acton/Brown signs than I would expect in those areas, so it is possible some nominal Republicans may cross over this year, and that the unaffiliated vote is far more friendly to Democrats this cycle. It is also totally possible Cuyahoga County--being one of the dozen youngest counties in the state--may see an election-day surge. This is not meant to be an alarmist post.

But why not just play it safe and bug your Cuyahoga County friends to cast some votes early? I'm sending a few texts tonight and already voted in my county.

Edit: I'll go ahead and address a noteworthy objection here: how can it be true that this guy's model does not look so rosy for Democrats at the same time that some places are indicating record turnout? An easy answer is that the model is shitty--I'm open to this idea. A less easy, but I think also plausible, explanation is that the Ohio that voted blue in 2008 and 2012 is not the Ohio voting today. It's a matter of record that the post-Obama Democrats struggle more in the Midwest generally than they did prior to the multi-causal hysteria that seems to have taken root in many areas (further deindustrialization + several economic shocks + white status anxiety + proliferation of cable and Internet propaganda). It may well be the case that, with the drifting right of older, white, rural and even suburban Ohioans, Democrats will have to squeeze *even more ridiculous margins* out of places like Cuyahoga and Franklin counties to win in this state. That is how, I believe, you could reconcile record turnout with less favorable data. The point of this post, at any rate, is to nudge everyone to get out and vote and also to nudge them to nudge their friends to get out as well. The nudging must never stop.

Someone came to my door today to leave a vote Jon Husted ad and claimed that I was registered as a republican. I very much so am not. So it's just a hunch but I feel like someone is trying to pad the numbers for Ohio.

Credible independent running that serious Democrats are supporting because we have a first past the post voting system. An independent can win here, especially union backed, sitting elected official Tracey Tackett. A Democrat hasn't won here in 90 years and that's not going to start with political neophyte who Dem campaigns on "I wasn't a Democrat until this year" and "Tucker Carlson says things that resonates".

Democrats need to grow up, not play spoiler, and vote for the lesser evil. I'm sick and tired of Republicans running this state and half the blame rests in the terrible opposition party.

Visiting Put-in-Bay for the first time this weekend! I've already sorted out my accommodation and know about the winery and caves, but I'd love some recommendations for other things to do.

I'll have a car with me, but is it worth driving around the island? Is parking easy to find, or would renting a golf cart be more convenient? I've seen a lot of people recommending golf carts instead.

I'd also really appreciate suggestions for good places to eat. Thanks!

Got this bull shit text mere hours after the mass shooting in Oregon. They have zero shame.

Do I win a prize or something?

It’s obviously the OHSAA rules and officiating right?

Hey NRA members. You going to show up to my farm when the republican government allows eminent domain to take my farm and give it to a data center? Because this scenario is very likely due to our Republican representatives.

Two events, two protests, one afternoon, lots of rich con men.

While we were in Lakewood yesterday greeting Senator Bernie Moreno at the fundraiser he headlined with Bobby George's parents, our sister group Rubber City Resistance was in Akron giving Vivek Ramaswamy a proper welcome at his event.

Quick refresher on Lakewood: Moreno publicly told Max Miller to resign over the abuse allegations from Miller's ex-wife. Then he turned around and co-hosted a fundraiser with the parents of Bobby George, who pleaded guilty last year to attempted strangulation after originally facing nine felony counts, including attempted murder and kidnapping. Rules for thee.

Over in Akron, Rubber City Resistance summed up Vivek's whole campaign in six words: VIVEK, TRUMP, ELON. THREE RICH CON MEN. Vivek co-led DOGE with Elon before bailing to run for governor, and he's spent this race chasing Trump's endorsement instead of answering for anything. The same guy still hasn't called on Rodney Creech to step down. He just quietly scrubbed their photo together.

Huge thanks to Rubber City Resistance for holding it down in Summit County. Northeast Ohio Visibility Brigades showed up in two places at once.

Trump isn't on the ballot in November, but Trumpism sure is. Early voting in Ohio is open now through November 1st. Vote early and in person if you can, and bring a friend or family member. The sooner the better, because anything can happen: illness, car trouble, a family emergency, or this administration pulling a fast one on DEMOCRACY.

Curious how cryptids like the Mothman and Jersey Devil become local legends? Join the Ohio State Humanities Institute and Center for Folklore Studies for an exciting, free presentation by folklorist David J. Puglia. Discover how strange sightings and creepy encounters evolve into iconic symbols of regional pride. Don't miss this deep dive into America's favorite monster lore! Find more information here.

Thursday, November 19 | 7 PM | Ohio State Faculty Club

First of all, I'm voting for her 110% so don't come at me. I just want to see what everyone thinks of this. Not a "doesn't matter go vote" response, I'm genuinely curious as to why her team would do this?

Hi everyone, I’m an adult over 21 driver form another country with a valid foreign driver’s license and I’m working on getting an Ohio Limited Term Driver License.
I recently learned I may need 50 supervised driving hours, including 10 at night, in addition to the required course and driving school hours.
My main issue is that I’m new to Ohio and don’t know anyone who could supervise that amount of driving time.
Has anyone recently gone through this? How did you complete the 50 hours?

Any advice or contacts would be appreciated. Thank you!