it’s nice to see them together again

I did a version of this yesterday but folks pointed out some meaningful flaws, so I did a couple things different, and the Jets popped out as a notable team.

First, I looked just going into the third period. So blowing leads, or coming back from a deficit in the third.

Then I looked at this controlling for team quality. Not in the worlds most rigorous way, just imagine this scenario:

1. You play 100 games, and in 35 of them you enter the third behind
2. You win 9 of the 35, which is 26%. Is that good or bad?
3. Well, in your other 65 games you took about 78% of the points, and other teams in the league at that level come back from trailing at 15%, which is ~5 games.
4. Therefore, you make come backs a bit more than expected, 4 more times than expected.
5. Over the five and change seasons, anything within about 9 games of expectation is normal variation

I think this gives a much more interesting picture of teams that make come backs and blow leads, irrespective of just "good teams good bad teams bad."

BTW, in 466 games the Jets came back in 21 of 151, expected 24 (-3) and blew 20 of 201 leads, expected 30 (-10)

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Hey everyone, mods gave me the OK to share this once.

I'm a college student and big hockey fan, and I'm building **Homefield**. You back your team (or go against a rival), every goal, save and big play moves your pick, and your takes stay up after the game, so there's finally proof of who actually called it.

It's not out yet, but the waitlist is open and free: https://homefieldfans.com

When you join, you pick your team, and there's a board showing which fan bases have the most fans signed up. Would love to see Jets fans at the top.

Happy to answer questions or take feedback in the comments!

On Thursday night, during the second intermission of the Toronto Maple Leafs-Vegas Golden Knights broadcast, the TSN studio panel turned its attention to Connor Hellebuyck. There was no meaningful update on the superstar goaltender’s indefinite suspension from the Winnipeg Jets amid his high-profile trade demand, nor any concrete news about the team finding a potential trade partner in its ongoing quest to move him.

Instead, the segment began with a discussion of Hellebuyck’s finances.

“There’s this new website, called Hellebucks.com, which calculates by the second how much money Connor is losing as he’s suspended,” TSN host James Duthie said.

“Kind of rude,” TSN insider Darren Dreger added, before cracking a smile.

It’s been only a few days since Robson Fletcher, a 46-year-old Winnipeg-born data and storytelling strategist and former data journalist, capitalized on the obvious monetary pun in Hellebuyck’s last name and launched the now-viral tracker website. Consisting of a single page, Hellebucks.com simply informs visitors of the goalie’s daily ($38,660) and per-second ($0.45) forfeiture, along with running counters of his total loss since the Jets started their regular season and how much he’s lost since the user opened the site.

The project started as a quick internet search early last week, when Fletcher found himself watching a Jets game and pondering the same questions that Hellebucks.com now answers. Two days later — Fletcher admits he nearly forgot about it before finishing on Wednesday — Hellebucks.com went live.

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Absolutely hilarious for those of you curious

the beautiful bastard who made it Robson Fletcher, a former CBC journalist/data expert

*Edited to give credit to the maker

Edit: 4 teams.

Yes, its early but with all the doom and gloomers around here that with 37 the Jets didn’t stand a chance……it looks like they do.

Again, yes it’s early, some of the metrics from last night’s game weren’t great but the statistic that matters was the score and the Jets won that stat.

So enjoy the ride which it lasts and hope we STUUUAY on this ride for a while.

Jets win 3-2

Kfc with the Toque trick!