This was R+0.5% yesterday (which was trending slowly more R from R+0.3% 2 weeks ago). The blue dot suggests to me it might be even a small fraction in Hamilton's favor.

Unrelated: MN is down from 8% a few days ago.

Edit: Also the odds of 53D seats is higher than it's ever been (15%) & 54D seats is back to only fractionally behind 52D (13.6% vs 13.9% respectively). 52D is still the Deluxe forecast.

Source: https://insideelections.com/house-report-shorts-oct-15-2026/

lol

What races in the House are you going to be looking at that, more earlier in the night (before 9pm) will tell us the tale of what's going on? Interested to hear in what I should be looking for early on.

And of course, I gave three scenarios, but I guess I should also put purple splash in case Dems have a surprisingly underwhelming night.

16th of October and doing RV's.... It's a partisan anyways.

This poll used Cook Political Report’s House ratings