r/anticapitalism • u/terenscendent • 15h ago

Top Republicans Privately Concede House Is Likely Lost, Blame Trump for Midterm Collapse: Report

https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/republicans-fear-democrats-could-win-house-1825570
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u/det0724 13h ago

This is very obviously a “duh” statement. Trump was much more popular in 2018 than he is now. His approval rating that fall was around 40–42%, yet Republicans decisively lost the midterms, giving up 41 House seats. The Senate map was also heavily favorable to Republicans, much like this election, and they actually gained two seats. The inverse happened in 2022, when a favorable Democratic Senate map helped them maintain a 50–50 split.

Now, Trump’s approval is in the low 30s and trending downward. The economy is in much worse shape than it was in 2018, in many ways directly because of Trump’s own actions. He’s also making one unforced error after another.

I think Democrats will flip the House by a 50-seat margin, which could be even larger without Republican gerrymandering. I also think Democrats will flip the Senate, gaining 4–7 seats to reach a 51–54 seat majority. A net gain of 4–7 seats on this map would be insane.

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u/TheGreenMan13 10h ago

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