Reddit has some sort of collective Mandela effect where they seem to firmly believe Kamala was crushing every poll everywhere, and then her loss was a shock because all the polls were so wrong.
Reality was, Dems were hoping the polls were wrong and that she’d have an overperformance that they weren’t picking up in places like Texas. But they weren’t.
I don’t recall the last time polls had a Dem in front in Texas. I think Beto came close but was always several points behind.
IIRC Harris WAS leading in most of the swing states by two or three points. But what everyone forgot, or hoped was different this time, was that Trump has consistently outperformed the polls by roughly five points every time he was on the ballot. I remembered that and came to terms with Trump 2.0 in July of ‘24.
2
u/M0BETTER 15h ago
You can't just say random shit and expect no one to check your work.
Source: an entire Wiki page of results to show you're wrong. Harris was polling great on most aggregators.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2024_United_States_presidential_election