r/Rockland • • 8h ago

Discussion NY-17 is polling as a coin flip, and I genuinely don't understand how.

42 Upvotes

I know polls aren't a sure thing, and I have very little faith in them after 2024, but I can't understand how they're saying that the House race is a coin flip right now.

Even if you're a "traditional" conservative who cares about things like fiscal "responsibility", show me how Republicans have done anything in that vein. They're demanding OVER A TRILLION DOLLARS for the military budget, cutting social programs, raising healthcare costs, and letting Trump's unilateral tariffs raise all our costs. He's had eight chances to block Trump's tariffs, six chances to invoke oversight powers to stop Trump's unlawful war with Iran, and his party created Trump's SALT cap in 2017 to fund tax breaks for huge companies. Now he's promising to beg Trump to raise the cap that his own party put in place to begin with, and what, he thinks that's something to run on? He slapped us in the face and is trying to sell us an ice pack at a hugely inflated price.

Lawler's a Trump rubber stamp, and I'm sick of this "bipartisan" myth he keeps pushing. Anybody who's paying attention knows that congress members get a Hall Pass to dissent on procedural or inconsequential votes. But when the chips are down and it actually counts? He falls in line with the party every single time.

And when Trump says something insane - like leakers should be shot, and then gestures to the press pool saying they're "kind of like leakers"—just the LATEST in his unhinged behavior—what does he do when people ask genuine questions of how he feels about it? Dismisses it as "Orange Man Bad" and moves on. He's not fighting for us and he isn't going to start if we vote him back in.

Meanwhile, we get a genuinely good candidate in Cait Conley with a history of service and support for, you know, NORMAL policies that will actually HELP people in her district, and she's not beating the pants off Lawler in the polls?

Conley is such a strong opponent against Lawler that they don't have any legitimate subjects to attack her on. Now they're claiming she's a "socialist". How stupid do they think we are? A West Point graduate with a long service record and a history in counter-terrorism and election security suddenly wants to come for your wallet?

What makes it so ridiculous is the sheer hypocrisy: if you want actual examples of overt state control, look at the White House. Trump came to Intel's rescue in exchange for the federal government taking a direct 10% equity stake in the company (something he openly bragged about), and he dictates trade by executive decree without Congress. That kind of state-run capitalism and central planning looks a lot more like the Chinese Communist Party than anything Conley has ever advocated. And with Trump constantly running cover for Putin and cozying up to Beijing, the GOP's scaremongering about "Communism" doesn't mean shit.

I think Cait Conley is a great candidate. I believe she's going to fight to get things back on the right track. I understand that Conley doesn't check every single box for everyone. There are people who think she isn't progressive enough. But your vote isn’t a personal marriage or a 100% philosophical endorsement. It’s a tool. You aren’t asking “does this person align with me on every single thing?” You’re asking: “who is actually going to fight for the issues I care about and move the needle in the right direction?” Even if Conley wasn't your dream candidate in a vacuum, she is THE Democrat on the ballot right now, and this is an all-hands-on-deck moment to break up this rubber-stamp majority. Anything less is ceding power back to authoritarians.

Unless you want to continue to empower the White House to act with impunity and make life harder for all of us, I feel like it's a glaringly-obvious choice: vote Cait Conley in, vote out Mike Lawler.


r/Rockland • • 17h ago

Politics Please go to your town page and look at finances.

35 Upvotes

Of all of Mike Lawler’s fact-twisting, his tax talk is getting the attention.  Good, because the SALT-cap is meaningless with the cuts in basic services that the New York taxpayers can’t backfill,   the tariffs-trade-health-childcare, makes the $90 check an insult.  (Cost me $70 to fill my tank.)  All the focus is on seniors with fixed income but I’m most worried about young people. 

IT’S A FACT that Dems. hold the line on middle-class taxes, Not the Republicans.   Don’t believe me? Well, factcheck it, go to your town site > Your Government > Finance > Statements. … and a reminder that there was a pandemic  from 2020 to 2023. 

For my town, as example

TAXES in 2018: +2.30%, 2019: +1.96%, 2020: +1.98%, 2021: +1.97%, 2022: +3.50%, 2023: +2.92%, 2024: 2.40%, 2025: +2.04% (Below state cap. Long-time residents know that was not the case in prior years)

FUNDS (unassigned) 2017: $456K, 2018: $680K, 2019: $886K, 2020: $688K, 2021: $718K, 2022: $975K, 2023: $785K, 2024: $1.053K, 

What about services?   Walk down Westchester Avenue and decide for yourself whether the streets, park and community are in good shape. Have you used services recently? What was that like? And long-time residents, before it was Dem. Will tell you how it was.

You are paying for the ballroom, wars and all of it that Lawler supports,   It’s not free. 


r/Rockland • • 16h ago

Politics A more confident Conley takes on Lawler in second NY-17 debate

Thumbnail
cityandstateny.com
32 Upvotes

r/Rockland • • 5h ago

Recommendations Apartment Cleaner Recs

1 Upvotes

Does anyone have recommendations for house/apartment cleaners? We’re looking for someone to come about once a month.


r/Rockland • • 6h ago

News How to vote early in New York’s 2026 General Election

Thumbnail
news10.com
1 Upvotes

r/Rockland • • 8h ago

Food & Drink Sad news for AJs Lovers

Post image
10 Upvotes

This brings tears to my eyes! So many years of memories and good eats…. I hope like heck when they do open their new endeavor, it is very nearby. I love AJs. They have been part of my family for years. I do wish them the best but also wish this wasn’t so…. Please stay local.

I’m so thankful for them posting and asking for our contacts so they can reach us with updates. Thank you! That gives us hope! With much love for you guys!