⚪️🚮** ****Spurs are worse at home, conceding 31 goals at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last season. They had the 18th worst home record last season (and the 6th best away record 🤔). Van Hecke’**s “good fixtures” are all at home…
🔵🦁 Chelsea have conceded the joint-most non-penalty goals in the premier league so far this season (13), and rank second-worst for non-penalty xGC (10.2). Caicedo’s return will improve them but still,** **Theirno Barry and KDH owners should be licking their lips at this one.
🔵🕊️** Bri****ghton’s defence has conceded 9.39 non-penalty xGC (7th worst) - they have still kept 4 clean sheets and conceded only 5 goals but this won’t continue. Avoid double or triple ups on their defence long-term. Hinshelwood is back meaning Groß may play deeper, and Mitoma will be back soon meaning De Cuype**r will be playing LB again. Both are still great picks just don’t expect huge hauls from them all season.
⚪️🏡** Fulham’**s attack have put up 6.09 xG in home games this season compared with 3.20 xG in away games, which is a trend we saw last season aswell - their attackers are worth starting this week if you have them.
⚪️🦚** Leed****s** defence is great at home, conceding only 3.63 xGC and 2 goals at Elland Road so far this season. Man United are inconsistent and just played an intensive game away at Atletico Madrid midweek. Going forward,** ****Leeds and Chelse**a look like the best teams without European football by far, and Leeds have great value FPL options all over the pitch.
⚫️⚪️🏰 Newcastle’s attack rank second worst for non penalty xG at 6.34, and their defence is second worst for xGC at 10.53 so far this season. Last season they lost 2-0 at home against Aston Villa and drew 0-0 away, meaning they did not score a single goal in this fixture last season.
🩵💰 Man City look great and have an amazing record against promoted sides. In the 2 premier league games they have faced** Ipswich (24/25 season) they won 4-1 at home and 6-0 away, with Haaland bagging a hattrick in the home fixture and 1 goal in the 6-0 away game. Predicting their lineup is very difficult, but Matheus ‘Cafunes’ Nunes and Cherki both only played 45 mins against PSG midweek. Cafunes started 32 games last season, and **Cherki’s 10.1 points per 90 mean that even when he gets 30 mins off the bench he is a great option.
All stats from Opta website and Premier League app.
Edit: Idk what’s going on with the bolding and asterisks sorry peeps.