Three players hardly anyone owns are projected near the very top for Gameweek 7, while four of the most owned names have a fixture, a fitness doubt or a minutes question hanging over them.

Under 10% owned

| Player | Club | Fixture | Owned | Projected GW7 |

| Van Hecke | TOT | Coventry (H) | 6.3% | 4.9 |

| Silva | BOU | Sunderland (H) | 0.6% | 4.9 |

| Gonzalo | FUL | Hull (H) | 7.2% | 4.8 |

Only Haaland, Bruno and Cherki are projected higher than Van Hecke and Silva this week. Coventry have scored five all season and Sunderland have let in twelve in six, so both defenders get a decent shot at a clean sheet, even though Spurs have only kept two and Bournemouth none.

Worth a hard look

| Player | Club | Fixture | Owned | Expected minutes | Projected GW7 |

| João Pedro | CHE | Everton (A) | 70% | 62 | 3.5 |

| Rogers | CHE | Everton (A) | 45% | 80 | 3.6 |

| Szoboszlai | LIV | Brentford (A) | 28% | 37 | 1.7 |

| Gvardiol | MCI | Ipswich (H) | 28% | 45 | 2.6 |

None of them are must-sells. Everton are unbeaten and have let in two at home all season, Szoboszlai's hamstring is still uncertain and Gvardiol came off the bench last week while Guéhi is projected for nearly twice as much over the next five.

Leeds face manchester united at home this week who've been in poor form the entire season, does it now make sense to play leeds players like muharemovic, Trafford or DCL this week instead of having them on your bench and then regretting it?

What are people doing this Ben White? Timber is back and played UCL game but White played 62 mins last weekend. Are you selling, holding? Starting?

I looked at United fixtures and they don't look bad. Leeds away and Bournemouth at home next. The team is a mess; they are in poor form, but even if they play poorly, you could still get some points from some players.

In terms of top picks

• Mbeumo is the one I’d buy. £7.9m, played every minute, slightly more expected goal involvement than Bruno. Outside the Ipswich game he’s scored 22 FPL points. Bruno has nine. That £4m difference is doing a lot of convincing.
• Mainoo seems like hidden gem? £5.5m and DEFCON points in all five starts. Only 1.5% owned, but flagged as injured, and is he locked in as starter.

Defence looks poor (zero clean sheets in six games mean), altough De Ligt return could help? https://fplcat.com/blog/manchester-united-fpl-players-to-buy-and-avoid

I’m currently finalising my bus team & I’ve ended up with a triple Arsenal backline: Raya, Calafiori, and Konsa.

The data shows Arsenal's away defensive structure is elite, but the City Ground can be a tricky fixture with Forest's direct transition threat.

Arsenal fans (or anyone brave enough to triple up):

1. How secure do we feel about this specific matchup?
2. Is Konsa 100% nailed to start alongside Calafiori this weekend?
3. Am I better off hedging and dropping one for Lewis Hall (AVL H) or Ajer(LIV H)?
4. Arsenal have kept 2 away clean sheets from 3 matches till now this season

Appreciate the insight!

Anyone not captaining Haaland? If so, who are you going for?

Source: https://www.getfineline.app/blog/fpl-gw7-tips

(Reposted with correct gw in title this time<3)

Update on Zubimendi's injury straight from the source................................................

Here are the chapter markers for easy access:

0:00 Intro
1:17 To what extent has De Cuyper over performed this season?
8:03 How does this compare to last season as a LB?
12:10 Are his minutes at risk as LW
14:47 Upcoming fixtures
19:18 De Cuyper summary
21:01 Questions for the podcast from YOU
29:13 Outro

Here is all the data for free if you want to go beyond what is discussed in the video

⚪️🚮 Spurs are worse at home, conceding 31 goals at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last season. They had the 18th worst home record last season (and the 6th best away record 🤔). Van Hecke’s “good fixtures” are all at home…

🔵🦁 Chelsea have conceded the joint-most non-penalty goals in the premier league so far this season (13), and rank second-worst for non-penalty xGC (10.2). Caicedo’s return will improve them but still, Theirno Barry and KDH owners should be licking their lips at this one.

🔵🕊 Brighton’s defence has conceded 9.39 non-penalty xGC (7th worst) - they have still kept 4 clean sheets and conceded only 5 goals but this won’t continue. Avoid a triple up on their defence. Hinshelwood is back meaning Groß may play deeper. He is still a great pick with penalties, set pieces, and bags of quality just don’t expect huge hauls from him all season.

Edit: apparently Mitoma has been struggling for form over the past couple seasons even when fit and De Cuyper could well continue to be the starting LW, and also isn’t really seen as a left back. I got that one wrong thanks to the Brighton fans for correcting me on this one.

⚪️🏡 Fulham’s attack have put up 6.09 xG in home games this season compared with 3.20 xG in away games, which is a trend we saw last season aswell - their attackers are worth starting this week if you have them.

⚪️🦚 Leeds defence is great at home, conceding only 3.63 xGC and 2 goals at Elland Road so far this season. Man United are inconsistent and just played an intensive game away at Atletico Madrid midweek. Going forward, Leeds, Chelsea, and Brentford look like the best teams without European football by far, and Leeds have great value FPL options all over the pitch.

⚫️⚪️🏰 Newcastle’s attack rank second worst for non penalty xG at 6.34, and their defence is second worst for xGC at 10.53 so far this season. Last season they lost 2-0 at home against Aston Villa and drew 0-0 away, meaning they did not score a single goal in this fixture last season.

🩵💰 Man City look great and have an amazing record against promoted sides. In the 2 premier league games they have faced Ipswich (24/25 season) they won 4-1 at home and 6-0 away, with Haaland bagging a hattrick in the home fixture and 1 goal in the 6-0 away game.

Predicting their lineup is very difficult, but Matheus ‘Cafunes’ Nunes and Cherki both only played 45 mins against PSG midweek. Cafunes started 32 games last season, and Cherki’s 10.1 points per 90 mean that even when he gets 30 mins off the bench he is a great option.

All stats from Opta website and Premier League app.

Edit: Idk what’s going on with the bolding and asterisks sorry peeps.

OReilly started in PL and Gvardiol came off the bench. Gvardio started CL midweek and OReilly came off the bench.
Same with RB for Nunes and Khusanov
Is this presumably Maresca’s plan going forward?

One of the teams who have a great upcoming run of fixtures is newcastle, the majority players brought in being wissa,hall and barnes

After conceding 4 goals and underperforming their xg against coventry, would you play them or bench then against villa at home this week?

🔮 Live predictions via fpl.page/price-changes:

📈 Predicted To Rise Tonight

None

📉 Predicted To Fall Tonight

⏳📈 Close to Rising

⏳📉 Close to Falling

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^{Source: fpl.page}

Full records here

🔵 Palmer vs EVE : 7👟 5⚽️ 0🅰️
🔵 Rogers vs EVE : 4👟 0⚽️ 1🅰️
🔵 J.Pedro vs EVE : 7👟 0⚽️ 1🅰️

tackling some of the key dilemmas ahead of gameweek 7. Are Gross and De Cuyper essential? Are people really buying Spurs assets?

📊 Live price changes via fpl.page/price-changes:

📈 Price Rises (0)

No price rises tonight

📉 Price Falls (3)

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^{Source: fpl.page}

Most Net Transfers In

Most Net Transfers Out

Predicted Points' are calculated by taking the percentage chance on a variety of FPL factors, from the bookies, adjusted for margins. Fractional points are added up, making a predicted gameweek score. OG, penalty misses and defensive contributions are not included. Player’s rotation risk / minutes on pitch, is not factored in.

Notable players that didn't make the list: Joao Pedro: 5.31 | Calafiori: 4.57

You can find more Player Predictions here: https://checkthechance.com/fantasy-football/

Good luck all! See you on Monday for the Predicted vs Actual post!