r/stlouisblues • u/g00dj0b • 12h ago
Six games into the season, the Blues have some pretty interesting underlying numbers
We’re actually generating more dangerous chances than we’re giving up.
At 5-on-5, the Blues have a 53.2% shot-attempt share and a 56.7% high-danger chance share (55 for, 42 against).
But expected goals are almost dead even: 12.3 for, 12.2 against.
So we’re controlling a decent share of the attempts and dangerous opportunities without translating that into much of an expected-goal advantage.
Our penalty kill has scored as many goals as our power play.
Power play: 2 goals on 14 opportunities (14.3%)
Penalty kill: 89.5%
Shorthanded goals: 2
That’s a pretty strange special-teams combination.
The Hofer/Binnington numbers aren’t particularly close right now.
Hofer: .920 SV%, 1.76 GAA in 4 starts
Binnington: .847 SV%, 4.50 GAA in 2 starts
Obviously six games is a tiny sample, and Binnington’s outing against Colorado skews things. Still, Hofer has been the more effective goalie so far.
Our last two games account for 57% of our season’s goals.
First four games: 9 goals on 103 shots (8.7% shooting).
Last two games: 12 goals on 53 shots (22.6% shooting).
Our two leading scorers are both offseason additions.
McTavish: 4 goals, 7 points.
McMichael: 2 goals, 6 points.
Between them, that’s 6 of our 21 goals. Pretty solid early returns.
There’s some encouraging 5-on-5 play, a good penalty kill, a pretty dramatic goaltending split, and an offense that’s suddenly finishing everything.

