r/olemiss • u/Upper_Sympathy6862 • 3h ago
My model has Ole Miss beating Missouri, but barely
I run a college football model and Missouri-Ole Miss is one of the closest games on the board this week. It has the Rebels winning at home, but only 57%, so basically a field goal game.
Both teams have one loss and are right in the playoff mix, so whoever drops this one probably takes a big hit. The model has Missouri's playoff odds at 40% right now.
For context, it's picked the winner in 76% of games this season.
Does Oxford make this a comfortable win, or is it going to come down to the last drive? Score prediction?