r/cuba • u/Kantmzk Havana • 1d ago
Conversación seria The Recent Cuban Exodus Likely Exceeds All Other Migration Waves Combined
This is another dire statistic that I found important enough to post in a recent Council on Foreign Relations article. The numbers of people who have fled Cuba, even on the low end, are disastrous. However, the pessimist in me thinks the Regime is even fine with that because in its view it got rid of enough "troublemakers" to continue its hold on power.
It is really difficult for me to understand how Cuba could ever come back from its current state if nothing is to change in the next few year maximum. The birthrate has been steadily declining since 1988 and just from 2020 until now it is possible that 1.6 - 2.75 million have left just in the past six years, with the exodus also having no end in sight. If it has not already happened, I fear that Cuba will in the near future reach a point of catastrophic no return.
What really makes me sad is to think about all the young people in Cuba who have basically no opportunities to make a decent future for themselves in Cuba and have only known a life of misery, blackouts, and family members leaving for a better life as well as the old people who have nobody to take care of them anymore.
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u/FeveredRadio Havana 16h ago
It's extraordinary how deeply this is felt in Cuba. You see it in the empty streets, especially at night. Havana feels like a ghost town.
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u/battarro Miami 18h ago
The problem is that the people who leave are relatively young, leaving a nation not old people behind.
Cuba median age is over 43
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u/PatrickAmo 1d ago
Cuba is set to dissappear sooner than later. In 50 years most of the elders that still live in the country will be all gone, and the country won't have the strenght to recover since all the young people have already left the country or are leaving in no time.
Cuba will be a story just told by the cubana in the exile, and the actual country will be just the ruin of a previous civilization.
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u/Agitated_Egg4245 18h ago
I really hope this is not the case! Ideally the government just collapses and people can return and rebuild it in a way that actually works for the people who live there.
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