r/YAPms • • 23h ago

Discussion YAPms Weekly Discussion Thread - October 15, 2026

7 Upvotes

Rule 1 does not apply. Feel free to discuss any topic!


r/YAPms • • Sep 15 '26

Announcement r/YAPms Prediction Contest - 2026 US Midterm Election

29 Upvotes

With the conclusion of the Delaware primaries tonight, we will be officially full-swing into the final midterm push, with only the general elections ahead of us, on November 3rd. All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the US Senate will be contested to determine the 120th United States Congress; alongside 36 state Governor seats that need to be elected.

And we're going to pick em!

Show off your prediction skills and demonstrate your analytical superiority by participating in our r/YAPms prediction contest! Entering is easy, all you have to do is comment below. You can provide a Senate, House, and/or Governor prediction map (enter predictions for as many contests as you like) in the form of a link to your map from YAPms. (Please only use the YAPms maps linked below.)

Senate Map

House Map

Governors Map

Please do not change the regions/parties settings, including colors. Otherwise, as long as you link to your map so I can access it and evaluate it after the election, then you are entered!

After the election results are reported, I will evaluate all entries and create a post detailing the results. You will graded/ranked on if you predicted the overall winning party and how well your margins line up with the results along the Tilt/Lean/Likely/Safe scale. I'm going with a non-traditional margin set up of 2/5/10!! VERY IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THIS.

The scoring is as follows:

  • 11 points for predicting the correct party at the correct margin (eg: Result was Safe D Wyoming and you predicted Safe D Wyoming)
  • 5 points for predicting the correct party but off by a margin (eg: Result was Likely R Minnesota but you predicted Safe R or Lean R.)
  • 3 points for predicting the correct party but off by two margin lengths (eg: Result was Lean R New Mexico but you predicted Safe R)
  • 1 point for predicting the correct party but off by three margin lengths (eg: Result was Safe D Oklahoma but you predicted Tilt D)
  • 0 points for incorrectly predicting the party regardless if your margins were close or not (eg: Result was Tilt D Massachusetts but you predicted Tilt R)

Please do not leave tossups in your map. Remember, 2/5/10 margins!

Want to change your prediction after you have submitted? Edit your comment with the link to your updated prediction! Predictions will be locked on November 3rd, 2026 @ 11 AM Eastern Standard Time.

Good luck and have fun! Let me know if you have any questions.


r/YAPms • • 9h ago

Discussion *man heckles debate* Susan Collins: “this is obviously one of Troy’s supporters”, Troy Jackson to Collins: “oh, shut up”

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108 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 11h ago

Meme What is even happening. NSFW

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153 Upvotes

Apologies if this breaks the "lazy twitter screenshot" rule but this is too absurd to not bring up to this sub.


r/YAPms • • 12h ago

Discussion Dead ass, heard multiple people ask the election workers today where Donald Trump was on the ballot

163 Upvotes

Both clearly Boomers who had no idea what a midterm was but wanted to vote for Trump


r/YAPms • • 8h ago

Meme Bro I can't believe South Carolina is likely R

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65 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 7h ago

Analysis Prominent senators/governors/statewide officials who were way more liberal/conservative than their state, but nonetheless kept getting elected?

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45 Upvotes

Jay Rockefeller for example was duking it out with Obama himself on who was more liberal according to both ADA and CPAC's member ratings, but in '08 Rockefeller won in a 27 point landslide even as West Virginians voted to reject Obama's dark vision for America by 13 points.

Clifford Case meanwhile was a republican from what was then a swing state in NJ, but nonetheless he was voting about as liberally as Ted Kennedy according to both ADA and CPAC in the 70s.


r/YAPms • • 12h ago

Discussion Trump attacks Cornyn and blames him for a potential Paxton loss

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102 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 10h ago

Poll Bodnar leads with slight plurality in new Montana Senate poll

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67 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 17h ago

Meme Every 2028 poll be like

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210 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 9h ago

News Mamdani campaigns for Hochul

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51 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 8h ago

Meme re: the new montana senate poll

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42 Upvotes

am i a prophet


r/YAPms • • 8h ago

Analysis Montana Senate poll just dropped

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42 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 14h ago

Serious James Fishback speaks out against racist voicemail to Angie Nixon

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115 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 6h ago

Discussion InsiderAdvantage (R) poll of Kansas

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30 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 1h ago

Meme There is a viral Instagram account based on a teenager pretending to be Executive Bruce Blakeman and trying to convince young people to vote for him. Do you think this will kill Governor Hochul’s campaign? I do.

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• Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 7h ago

Congressional Arkansas Senate poll, Cotton +9.

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31 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 7h ago

Discussion Alaska Senate; PPP (D aligned); RV; Peltola D+1

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28 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 7h ago

Discussion Latest REP Senate map

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31 Upvotes

2/5/10


r/YAPms • • 8h ago

Discussion US Senate Kansas fundraising totals for Q3 2026

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29 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 13h ago

Meme YAPms after Ossoff finally convinced us he's not running

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74 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 13h ago

News Inside Elections move Wyoming at-large to Likely R

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70 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 6h ago

Analysis Kalshi odds for competitive senate races a year ago vs today

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19 Upvotes

For net odds change,
GA: Ossoff +22%
NH: Pappas +10%
NC: Cooper +30%
MI: Rodgers +8%
AK: Peltola +55%
OH: Brown +24%
ME: Collins +2%
TX: Talarico +42%
IA: Turek +17%
KS: Hamilton +27%


r/YAPms • • 11h ago

Discussion Troy Jackson raises $20.4 million for Q3 2026

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45 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 15h ago

Discussion Take this with a few grains of salt, but Texas journalist Christopher Hooks says private internals for TX Rs are "absolutely demented"

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87 Upvotes