r/Stampeders • u/treple13 • 5h ago
All possible scenarios for our final week: Which ones are best?
WORST: Calgary loses, Saskatchewan wins (doesn't matter what Winnipeg does)
IMPLICATION: We are eliminated no matter what happens in the final week
6th: Calgary wins, Winnipeg wins, Saskatchewan wins
IMPLICATION: We'd win two things to go our way. Winnipeg would have to WIN against a BC team trying to clinch 2nd AND Saskatchewan would need to lose to Edmonton's (possibly) backups
5th: Calgary loses, Winnipeg loses, Saskatchewan loses
IMPLICATION: The same two results would need to happen as above, but at least in this scenario BC will have clinched and won't need to beat Winnipeg to get 2nd. Would Winnipeg care enough about 3rd or 4th to not rest guys themselves?
4th: Calgary wins, Winnipeg loses, Saskatchewan wins
IMPLICATION: We need Winnipeg to lose to a BC team that won't care
3rd: Calgary loses, Winnipeg wins, Saskatchewan loses
IMPLICATION: Our playoff hopes would come down to Edmonton trying to win in Regina. Interestingly in this scenario 1st in the West would still potentially be up for grabs if BC beats Winnipeg, so Edmonton may have motivation
2nd: Calgary wins, Winnipeg wins, Saskatchewan loses
IMPLICATION: We make the playoffs if either Winnipeg wins OR Saskatchewan loses. The Riders may be playing the Elks backups, and the problem is in this scenario BC now has motivation to win over the Bombers to clinch 2nd (or just not lose by 16).
BEST?: Calgary wins, Winnipeg loses, Saskatchewan loses
IMPLICATION: In this scenario, we would just need either the Bombers OR Riders to lose to get into the playoffs. The problem is BOTH teams may be playing backups as BC and Edmonton will have locked 1st and 2nd in this scenario. It's still not great, but the best we may have
Honestly I don't really love our chances in ANY of these scenarios. I'm hoping there's a world where BC after clinching 2nd with a Bombers loss Friday rests everyone against us, and then plays everyone against Winnipeg at home, but that's probably not happening.
I think first and 2nd, and 3rd and 4th are fairly interchangable. Our best bet to make the playoffs is we need someone to lose out

