I thought now that we're three episodes in, it would be worth taking another look at the alleged leaks from Front_Pop_4079 to see how well they line up with what we know for sure know. The three posts consist of a list of season spoilers, and much later a list of prejurors, and the winner (alongside two other candidates)
General season spoilers:
"one world" - KIND OF TRUE. They were all on one beach after the marrooning
"no tribes until day 3" FALSE.
"rob marooning advantage, aaliyah involved" FALSE. Although, Rob picked up the bag from the helicopter, and found an idol once they were on their beaches.
"aaliyah exiled on day 2, joins savu" FALSE.
patt first out from yellow (not saying she’s first boot) FALSE, SORT OF. Yes Aaliyah was the first boot, but Patt was the first boot once Lewis had joined, so this could be where this came from theoretically.
"female winner (down to 3 names)" UNCONFIRMED. As an edgic-head it feels pretty likely though
"swap" TRUE.
"double duo" UNCONFIRMED.
Prejury Boots:
"kristin, cristian, patt, rob, alexis, and aaliyah are 100% prejurors"
These spoilers came out shortly after the official cast announcement. I kind of take issue with this list because a lot of these were already known due to social media activity. I believe Patt, Rob and Alexis were fully confirmed this way. I heard rumblings of this being true of Christian, but correct me if I'm wrong. But the inclusion of Kristin and Christian feels a little bit suspect to me, because out of the whole cast they feel like two very safe bets to put as prejury. My reaction to those two names was 'I guess I wouldn't be surprised', which is exactly why I'm not sure about them.
"i believe there are other 2 but i have yet to find them" Ana is one of them. However this does feel like a bit of a safety net to predict less with more perceived accuracy.
Winner: "After previously narrowing the winner down to one of Jelly, Jenna and Sharonda, I can now confidently say that Jenna wins."
I mean its looking pretty good?? After the first two episodes I thought this must have been dead on, but now I'm not so sure. These three definitely look like they have longevity though.
Ultimately I thought it was worth compiling these spoilers and cross-referencing with what we know. There are a lot of things that are probably false, but I can also reasonably understand how somebody would mistakenly come to that conclusion with limited information. I also think that soke of it seems like educated guesses based on pre-season content. What do we think? How much of this lines up?